Today’s model portfolio spans 5 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $4,000 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 5 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMDTHIS POSTBull Call Spread | 81% | $4,140 | 8 lots | $3,860 |
| MUBull Call Spread↗ | 87% | $4,430 | 4 lots | $3,570 |
| TSLABear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $530 | 4 lots | $3,470 |
| INTCBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $660 | 3 lots | $3,840 |
| SLVBull Call Spread↗ | 75% | $4,840 | 88 lots | $3,960 |
| Portfolio Total | $14,600 | 5 trades | $18,700 (+78.1% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 5 trades at $4,000 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a leading semiconductor designer operating in the Technology sector, competing across CPUs, GPUs, and data center accelerator chips. AMD has remained a focal point for options traders given its sensitivity to AI infrastructure spending cycles, earnings revisions, and broader chip-sector rotation. As of May 11, 2026, the stock is trading near the $458 level — just below a psychologically significant round-number threshold — while implied volatility has climbed into elevated territory. This combination of price positioning and volatility regime is precisely the kind of market structure that systematic options screening is designed to surface.
Why This Trade Setup
A Bull Call Spread expresses a moderately bullish directional view while capping both risk and reward. By purchasing a lower-strike call and selling a higher-strike call within the same expiration, the strategy reduces the net debit paid versus an outright long call — a meaningful advantage when implied volatility is elevated, as it is here with AMD's at-the-money IV sitting above 70%. The strikes are placed just above the current underlying price, requiring only a modest move — or even sideways consolidation near current levels — to achieve full profitability. The QuantMint Score of 0.86 — a composite quantitative score derived from Black-Scholes probability modelling, implied volatility regime analysis, and momentum factors — reflects a high-conviction setup. With an 18-day expiration window and a probability of profit assessed at 81%, the position balances time decay dynamics with a realistic path to maximum gain. Within a $20,000 illustrative portfolio split across five equal positions, this trade allocates approximately $3,860 of capital at risk across 8 contracts — a disciplined, rules-based sizing approach.
Key Risks
- Directional risk: A sharp decline in AMD's share price below the long strike results in the full loss of the net debit paid. Momentum is currently neutral, meaning there is no strong trend confirmation supporting the bullish thesis.
- Volatility crush: A rapid compression in implied volatility — common after catalyst events — can erode the value of the spread before expiration.
- Sector-wide shocks: Semiconductor stocks are sensitive to macro developments, export restrictions, and supply chain news that can move the stock independently of company fundamentals.
- Time decay: With 18 days to expiration, the position has limited time to recover if AMD moves adversely in the near term.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.