Today’s model portfolio spans 3 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $6,667 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 3 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTRBull Call Spread↗ | 34% | $18,505 | 10 lots | $6,495 |
| CRDOTHIS POSTBull Call Spread | 35% | $16,020 | 9 lots | $6,480 |
| SLVBear Call Spread↗ | 76% | $749 | 14 lots | $6,258 |
| Portfolio Total | $35,274 | 3 trades | $19,233 (+183.4% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 3 trades at $6,667 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ: CRDO) is a semiconductor and connectivity solutions company operating in the high-growth Technology sector. Credo specializes in high-speed data infrastructure products — including SerDes chiplets and active electrical cables — that serve hyperscale data centers and cloud networking buildouts. The stock has attracted sustained attention as demand for bandwidth-intensive infrastructure accelerates. As of October 12, 2026, CRDO is trading near the $200 level, and its options market is reflecting a notably elevated implied volatility environment, which shapes the structure of today's highlighted trade setup.
Why This Trade Setup
The strategy in focus is a Bull Call Spread — a defined-risk, directionally bullish position constructed by purchasing a lower-strike call and selling a higher-strike call within the same expiration cycle. With 18 days to expiration, this short-dated structure is designed to capitalize on continued upward price momentum while capping both the maximum gain and maximum loss at the outset. The position carries a net debit, meaning the cost is paid upfront and represents the full capital at risk — there are no margin surprises.
What draws the quantitative model to this setup is a combination of factors: ATM implied volatility is running well above typical historical norms for this name, momentum indicators are registering bullish, and the strike placement reflects a probability-weighted view derived from Black-Scholes pricing models. The composite quantitative score of 0.82 out of 1.0 — built from options pricing model outputs, implied volatility regime classification, and momentum signals — places this trade among the higher-conviction setups in today's systematic screen. The probability of profit, as modelled, reflects a realistic assessment of the directional hurdle required.
Key Risks
This is a debit spread, so the maximum loss is limited to the net premium paid — no more, no less. However, that loss is realized in full if CRDO closes at or below the long call strike at expiration. With implied volatility elevated, options premiums are rich, which increases the cost of entry. The 18-day window leaves limited time for the trade to recover from an adverse move. A sharp reversal in semiconductor sentiment, a broader tech sector drawdown, or a company-specific catalyst could work against the position. Traders should size accordingly within a diversified spread portfolio.
Ready to explore this trade and hundreds more? Request beta access on QuantMint — institutional-grade quantitative analysis built for individual investors.
Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.