Today’s model portfolio spans 4 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $5,000 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 4 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCXBull Call Spread↗ | 34% | $14,547 | 13 lots | $4,953 |
| BEBull Call Spread↗ | 35% | $10,425 | 10 lots | $4,575 |
| AMDBull Call Spread↗ | 35% | $12,420 | 4 lots | $4,580 |
| PLTRTHIS POSTBull Call Spread | 34% | $11,256 | 16 lots | $4,744 |
| Portfolio Total | $48,648 | 4 trades | $18,852 (+258.1% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 4 trades at $5,000 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a data analytics and software platform company operating at the intersection of government intelligence and commercial enterprise — firmly rooted in the Technology sector. Palantir has remained a closely watched name among options traders, driven by its elevated implied volatility, high retail interest, and a share price that has seen substantial appreciation over recent years. As of October 7, 2026, the stock is trading near the upper range of its recent momentum cycle, making it a candidate for structured, defined-risk directional strategies rather than outright speculation.
Why This Trade Setup
The Bull Call Spread expresses a moderately bullish view on PLTR over a short 16-day window into the October 23 expiration. By purchasing a lower-strike call and selling a higher-strike call, the position caps both the maximum gain and the maximum loss — a structure well-suited to elevated implied volatility environments. With PLTR's at-the-money implied volatility sitting at 41.0%, long premium strategies benefit from a defined cost basis, while the short call offsets a meaningful portion of that premium. The position carries a QuantMint Score of 0.82 — a composite quantitative score derived from Black-Scholes probability weighting, implied volatility regime classification, and momentum signals — reflecting a favorable alignment of market structure factors. Bullish momentum in the underlying further supports the directional thesis embedded in this spread.
Key Risks
This trade has a probability of profit of 34%, meaning the majority of modelled outcomes result in a loss of the net debit paid — the maximum loss per share is capped and known at entry. The short expiration window of 16 days leaves little time for the trade to recover if PLTR moves sideways or pulls back. Implied volatility compression after a catalyst event could also reduce the spread's value before expiration. Position sizing within a diversified spread portfolio — such as the illustrative four-trade allocation framework — is one way traders manage concentration risk across individual setups like this one.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.