Today’s model portfolio spans 3 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $6,667 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 3 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTCBull Put Spread↗ | 95% | $1,740 | 8 lots | $6,260 |
| FTHIS POSTBear Call Spread | 95% | $1,264 | 158 lots | $6,636 |
| SLVBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $915 | 30 lots | $6,585 |
| Portfolio Total | $3,919 | 3 trades | $19,481 (+20.1% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 3 trades at $6,667 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) is one of the largest automakers in the world, operating within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The company manufactures and sells a broad range of vehicles, including its iconic F-Series trucks, electric vehicles under the Ford Pro and Model e divisions, and commercial fleet products. Ford has been navigating a complex macro environment marked by shifting EV demand, tariff pressures on imported components, and evolving consumer spending patterns. As of June 12, 2026, the stock is trading near the mid-teens, and implied volatility has elevated meaningfully — creating a structured environment where premium-selling strategies carry a quantitative edge.
Why This Trade Setup
The Bear Call Spread is a defined-risk, credit-generating strategy that profits when the underlying stock remains below the short strike at expiration. It expresses a neutral-to-moderately-bearish market view — appropriate given Ford's current neutral momentum reading and the stock's position well below the spread's strike zone. With roughly 20 days to expiration, time decay works in the position's favour from day one.
What makes this setup compelling from a quantitative standpoint is the combination of factors captured in the QuantMint Score of 0.84 — a composite derived from Black-Scholes probability modelling, implied volatility regime analysis, and momentum scoring. Implied volatility on Ford options is running at an elevated level, which inflates the premium collected relative to the actual statistical risk of the strikes being breached. The probability of profit derived from options pricing models is exceptionally high, and the strikes are placed at a meaningful distance above the current underlying price, providing a comfortable buffer against adverse moves. This is a short-duration, high-conviction income structure.
Key Risks
The primary risk in a Bear Call Spread is a sharp, sustained rally in Ford's share price through the short strike before expiration. Catalysts such as a stronger-than-expected sales report, a positive EV policy announcement, or broad market momentum could push the stock higher. While the defined-risk structure caps the maximum loss at the width of the spread minus the credit received, a full loss scenario would consume the allocated capital for this position. Traders should also monitor implied volatility contraction, which, while generally beneficial for short premium positions, can shift the Greeks and alter early exit economics. Position sizing relative to total portfolio risk remains essential.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.