Today’s model portfolio spans 3 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $6,667 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 3 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUBull Put Spread↗ | 95% | $1,435 | 2 lots | $4,565 |
| INTCTHIS POSTBull Put Spread | 95% | $1,656 | 16 lots | $6,344 |
| SLVBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $1,264 | 158 lots | $6,636 |
| Portfolio Total | $4,355 | 3 trades | $17,545 (+24.8% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 3 trades at $6,667 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Intel Corporation (INTC) is one of the world's largest semiconductor manufacturers, designing and producing processors, chipsets, and integrated circuits that power everything from personal computers to data centre infrastructure. The Technology sector broadly has seen elevated implied volatility in recent months, and Intel is no exception — its options market is currently pricing in a notably wide range of outcomes. That elevated volatility environment, however, is precisely what creates attractive conditions for premium-selling strategies. With the stock trading well above the spread's strike zone, the current market structure presents a defined-risk income opportunity worth examining through a systematic lens.
Why This Trade Setup
A Bull Put Spread involves selling a put at a higher strike and simultaneously buying a put at a lower strike, both with the same expiration. The position collects a net credit upfront and profits as long as Intel's share price remains above the short put strike at expiration — a view that the stock will hold its ground or continue higher over the next 21 days. What makes this setup compelling is the combination of factors surfaced by QuantMint's options pricing models: implied volatility is running at an elevated level, which inflates the premium collected relative to the risk taken, and the strikes are placed meaningfully below the current underlying price. The composite quantitative score — derived from Black-Scholes probability analysis, implied volatility regime classification, and momentum assessment — reflects a high-conviction, probability-weighted setup. With momentum reading as neutral, the trade is not reliant on a directional surge; it simply needs Intel to avoid a sharp near-term decline. The probability of profit modelled from options pricing theory underscores the structural edge here.
Key Risks
The primary risk is a swift, significant drop in Intel's share price before the June 12 expiration. A broad Technology sector sell-off, an unexpected earnings pre-announcement, or deteriorating macro sentiment could push the stock toward or through the short put strike, eroding the position's value. Because this is a defined-risk spread, the maximum loss per contract is capped — but that loss is realised in full if the stock closes below the long put strike at expiration. Elevated implied volatility also means the position carries meaningful gamma risk in the final days before expiry. Position sizing relative to total portfolio capital is essential to managing drawdown.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.