Today’s model portfolio spans 5 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $4,000 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 5 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDATHIS POSTBull Put Spread | 95% | $644 | 9 lots | $3,856 |
| TSLABear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $730 | 4 lots | $3,270 |
| INTCBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $873 | 9 lots | $3,627 |
| MUBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $815 | 1 lot | $4,185 |
| SLVBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $591 | 91 lots | $3,958 |
| Portfolio Total | $3,653 | 5 trades | $18,897 (+19.3% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 5 trades at $4,000 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the dominant force in graphics processing units and accelerated computing infrastructure, operating at the heart of the Technology sector. The stock has been a focal point for options traders in 2026, with elevated implied volatility creating a rich premium environment for structured income strategies. As of July 24, 2026, NVDA is trading above the $200 level, reflecting sustained institutional interest and a market that continues to price meaningful near-term uncertainty into its options chain. That elevated implied volatility — currently above 40% at the money — is precisely what makes a disciplined, probability-weighted spread strategy worth examining here.
Why This Trade Setup
The Bull Put Spread expresses a moderately bullish-to-neutral market view: the position profits as long as NVDA remains above the short put strike at expiration, with the long put providing a defined downside boundary. With 21 days to expiration, time decay works in the position's favour from day one. The strikes are placed meaningfully below the current underlying price, giving the trade a substantial buffer against adverse moves. A composite quantitative score of 0.87 — derived from Black-Scholes probability modelling, implied volatility regime analysis, and momentum scoring — places this setup among the highest-conviction ideas generated by QuantMint's systematic screening process. The probability of profit, as modelled, sits at 95%, reflecting the conservative strike placement relative to current price. Neutral momentum further supports a premium-collection approach rather than a directional long position.
Key Risks
- Sharp downside move: A sudden, significant decline in NVDA — driven by earnings surprises, macro shocks, or sector rotation — could push the stock below the short put strike, resulting in the maximum loss on the position.
- Volatility expansion: A spike in implied volatility before expiration can increase the mark-to-market loss on the spread, even if the stock remains above the strikes.
- Early assignment risk: Although uncommon with spreads, the short put leg carries theoretical early assignment risk, particularly around dividend dates or periods of extreme market stress.
- Liquidity: Wider bid-ask spreads at execution can erode the net credit received, making fill quality an important consideration.
Ready to explore this trade and hundreds more? Request beta access on QuantMint — institutional-grade quantitative analysis built for individual investors.
Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.