Today’s model portfolio spans 3 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $6,667 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 3 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOWBear Put Spread↗ | 59% | $9,336 | 16 lots | $6,664 |
| TSLABear Call Spread↗ | 85% | $938 | 7 lots | $6,082 |
| PLTRTHIS POSTBear Put Spread | 52% | $7,665 | 14 lots | $6,335 |
| Portfolio Total | $17,939 | 3 trades | $19,081 (+94.0% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 3 trades at $6,667 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a data analytics and software platform company operating in the Technology sector, serving both government and commercial clients globally. Palantir has been a high-profile name in the market, known for its elevated implied volatility and wide price swings around contract announcements and earnings cycles. As of November 6, 2026, PLTR is trading near $160, and its options market is reflecting a notably elevated implied volatility environment — a condition that shapes the risk/reward profile of directional spreads and makes systematic options screening particularly relevant for this name.
Why This Trade Setup
A Bear Put Spread is a defined-risk, directional strategy that profits when the underlying declines toward or below the lower strike by expiration. It involves purchasing a higher-strike put and selling a lower-strike put, with the net debit paid representing the maximum capital at risk. This setup expresses a moderately bearish view on PLTR over the next 14 days.
What makes this setup notable is the confluence of signals captured in a composite quantitative score of 0.92 — derived from options pricing models including Black-Scholes probability analysis, implied volatility regime assessment, and momentum indicators. With ATM implied volatility running at 57%, the options market is pricing in significant near-term movement. The momentum signal is strongly bearish, and the probability-weighted scoring places the likelihood of profit just above the coin-flip threshold — an estimate, not a promise. Strike placement is structured to align with the model's assessed range of probable price outcomes within the 14-day window.
Key Risks
The primary risk of this position is straightforward: the full net debit paid is at risk if PLTR closes at or above the higher strike at expiration. With only 14 days to expiration, time decay works against the position if the anticipated move does not materialize quickly. Additionally, PLTR's elevated implied volatility means the stock is capable of sharp reversals. A sudden bullish catalyst — such as a contract win or positive guidance — could move the stock against the position rapidly, leaving limited time to adjust.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.