Today’s model portfolio spans 5 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $4,000 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 5 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $707 | 1 lot | $4,292 |
| NVDABull Put Spread↗ | 95% | $707 | 9 lots | $3,794 |
| PLTRTHIS POSTBull Put Spread | 95% | $707 | 9 lots | $3,794 |
| SMHBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $398 | 1 lot | $2,102 |
| SLVBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $702 | 23 lots | $3,898 |
| Portfolio Total | $3,220 | 5 trades | $17,880 (+18.0% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 5 trades at $4,000 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a data analytics and software platform company operating at the intersection of government intelligence and commercial enterprise — one of the more closely watched names in the Technology sector. As of July 10, 2026, PLTR is trading near $126.55, well above the strikes targeted in this setup. The stock has attracted sustained institutional attention, and its options market reflects that interest through elevated implied volatility. That elevated volatility environment is precisely what makes systematic options screening surface this name as a candidate for premium-collection strategies today.
Why This Trade Setup
A Bull Put Spread is a defined-risk, income-generating strategy that profits when the underlying stays above the short put strike at expiration. By selling a put at one strike and buying a lower-strike put as a hedge, the position collects a net credit while capping maximum loss — making it well-suited for traders with a neutral-to-bullish market view on PLTR over the next 21 days. The composite quantitative score of 0.86 — derived from Black-Scholes probability modeling, implied volatility regime analysis, and momentum assessment — reflects a structurally favorable setup. With ATM implied volatility running at 50%, option premiums are rich enough to generate meaningful credit relative to the risk taken, while the probability-weighted analysis places the probability of profit at 95%. The short strike sits meaningfully below the current price, providing a substantial downside buffer. Momentum is currently neutral, which is consistent with a strategy that does not require directional follow-through — only that PLTR avoids a sharp near-term decline.
Key Risks
- Sharp downside move: A sudden sell-off that pushes PLTR below the short put strike before expiration would put the position under pressure, with maximum loss realized if the stock closes at or below the long put strike at expiry.
- Volatility expansion: A spike in implied volatility can increase the mark-to-market loss on the position before expiration, even if the stock remains above the strikes.
- Earnings or macro events: Unexpected company-specific news or broad market dislocations within the 21-day window can accelerate losses beyond what the current volatility regime implies.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.