Today’s model portfolio spans 2 quantitatively-scored trades across our watchlist.
Each position is sized to fit within a $10,000 budget slice. The post below is a deep dive on one of those trades — use the table to explore the others.
Today’s $20,000 Model Portfolio · 2 Trades
| Ticker & Strategy | POP | Max Profit | Contracts | Allocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTRTHIS POSTBear Call Spread | 95% | $1,576 | 23 lots | $9,924 |
| INTCBear Call Spread↗ | 95% | $2,112 | 24 lots | $9,888 |
| Portfolio Total | $3,687 | 2 trades | $19,812 (+18.6% if max profit) |
Equal-weight sizing: $20,000 split across 2 trades at $10,000 per position. Contracts = floor(position budget ÷ max risk per contract) so each trade stays within its risk envelope. POP = probability of profit at expiration (model-derived). Max Profit = maximum gain if held to expiration and the spread expires at full profit. Click any row to read the full trade analysis.
Company & Market Context
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a data analytics and software platform company operating in the Technology sector, serving both government and commercial clients globally. Palantir has been one of the more closely watched names in tech, with its share price reflecting elevated investor sentiment and a rich valuation premium. As of June 8, 2026, the stock is trading near $136, well below the spread's short strike — a positioning that is central to this trade's appeal. Implied volatility on PLTR remains meaningfully elevated, a condition that systematically favors premium-selling strategies and is a key input in QuantMint's options pricing model analysis.
Why This Trade Setup
The Bear Call Spread is a defined-risk, premium-collection strategy that profits when the underlying stays below the short strike at expiration. With momentum currently reading as neutral and the short strike positioned significantly above the current price, this setup expresses a view that PLTR will not make a sharp upside move over the next 18 days. The composite quantitative score — derived from Black-Scholes probability modeling, implied volatility regime analysis, and momentum scoring — rates this trade at 0.82 out of 1.0, reflecting a high-conviction, probability-weighted setup. The elevated ATM implied volatility near 49.6% inflates option premiums, allowing the spread to collect a meaningful credit relative to the capital at risk. A probability of profit near 95% underscores the statistical edge identified through systematic options screening. In an illustrative $20,000 portfolio split across two positions, this trade allocates roughly $10,000 to 23 contracts, with total capital at risk capped at approximately $9,924 — a disciplined, defined-risk allocation.
Key Risks
The primary risk is a sudden, sharp rally in PLTR above the short strike before expiration — an event that, while assigned a low probability by the model, cannot be ruled out. Palantir is a high-beta, sentiment-driven stock capable of outsized moves on earnings surprises, macro catalysts, or sector rotation. Because this is a defined-risk spread, the maximum loss is capped, but a full loss scenario would consume the entire allocated capital for this position. Traders should also monitor implied volatility expansion, which can increase the mark-to-market cost of closing the position early if an exit is needed before expiration.
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Important Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. QuantMint is not a registered investment adviser.